Dear Clients and Friends,
Attached list of 27 companies we are adding to our recommended
list at this time.
Annually, we take some time to think about the big picture
trends that are driving the US economy and society, pick out interesting themes
and trends, then consider those companies whose products and services
address those trends.
Simultaneously, we run several quantitative screens whose
properties have shown over time to do a better than average job of picking
companies whose stock prices are likely to outperform the stock market
averages. Generally, several hundred out of thousands of US publicly
traded companies rise to the tops of these screens.
We then research the characteristics of these companies,
eliminating those that have qualitative problems not detected by the
quantitative screens, and then look for intersection with the big picture
themes we have identified. Out of this process, 20-30 companies are
chosen for addition to our recommended list.
This year, the themes we’re focusing on are:
·
Technical education of the American
work force
·
Products and services which target
the aging of the baby boomer generation
·
Instruments which increase
efficiency in medical and technology processes
·
Outsourcing solutions
·
Energy distribution
Of the 27 companies on this year’s list, most fall in
the Mid-Cap category (Market Cap ranging from $1-15 billion.) These
companies have revenues in the range of $1-7 billion, large enough to give the
company the advantages of market share, small enough to grow (it’s a lot easier to double sales from $1 billion
than from $10 billion.) On average, the companies have
slightly higher Price/Earnings, Price/Book and Price/Sales ratios compared to
the S&P 500, but we’re willing to pay up a little because, on
average, these companies have forward growth prospects 50% higher than the S&P
500.
Over the next three months, as we rebalance existing
portfolios and invest new cash, we’ll be adding several of these
companies to each portfolio.
The Heron Capital Management client letter is published immediately following quarter end and 1 or 2 additional times per quarter. The views expressed in this letter represent HCMI opinion and strategy as of the date published and can change at any time upon receipt of new information. Data quoted in this letter are from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee of such data is implied.