HCMI Quick Take - March 22nd, 2007
Retirement Planning
From time to time, Heron Capital Management, Inc. issues a
“Quick Take” on topics ranging from retirement and estate planning,
charitable giving, education planning, family wealth distribution, trust
services, to executive benefit planning, especially diversification out of
single stock or stock option positions.
“Quick Takes” are oriented towards the needs and
experiences of HCMI’s own clients and are designed to prompt current and
prospective clients in asking questions. By no means are these commentaries
substitutes for the full and informed advice of an investment advisor, attorney
or accountant. These professionals should be consulted before clients make any
final decisions.
What’s the minimum amount clients
should have for retirement?
Most retirement estimating programs assume that retirees will
get by on 60-75% of their retirement income and will run their assets down to
zero over the remainder of their lives. Our clients typically want income at
100% of their pre-retirement spending, wish to live off their assets, and pass
those assets on to their heirs. Our own Quick and Dirty Retirement Planner
gives our clients very conservative projections based on these
requirements, generally targeting higher overall savings than typical
retirement programs. Here’s an example drawn from the model, which is
included in the attached spreadsheet:
|
100,000 |
Current annual income |
|
|
(10,000) |
Subtract annual savings |
|
|
90,000 |
Annual spending |
|
|
|
|
|
|
90,000 |
Income needed in retirement @ |
100% |
|
|
of current annual expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(20,000) |
Subtract Social Security |
|
|
(15,000) |
Subtract pension benefits |
|
|
55,000 |
Income gap |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Minimum savings at draw rate of: |
|
|
687,500 |
8% |
|
|
785,714 |
7% |
|
|
916,667 |
6% |
|
|
1,100,000 |
5% |
|
|
1,375,000 |
4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(savings computed by dividing |
|
|
|
Draw rate into income gap) |
|
You can enter values as a single person or a couple, and you
don’t need to know exactly what your annual expenses are, just a good
guess. In our experience, clients’ overall spending rate doesn’t
change when they retire (although you can change that parameter in the model),
just the mix (less on housing, more on travel and charitable giving.)
In the current low interest rate environment, we advise
clients to target a draw rate of 5-7%, with 5% being quite conservative.
Beyond a draw rate of 8%, clients risk running their assets down to zero.
What are the different retirement savings
options?
The following list outlines most options (specifications as
of March 2007) in descending order of utility to the typical HCMI client:
Upon switching jobs, after 6 months, employees may
“roll over” the 401K or 403B assets to a plan of their new employer,
or may elect to move the assets to a Rollover IRA, which is exactly like a
regular IRA except that the employee retains the option to move the assets back
into a 401K at a future date. The employee can also consolidate the assets in
a new or existing regular IRA, but loses the ability to roll out the assets
into another 401K down the road. Given that 401K’s are typically limited
to 10-30 mutual funds, while IRA’s can be invested in any mutual fund,
stock or bond, we’ve never had a client take that option.
Upon retirement, the client may retain the assets inside the
401K or 403B and take distributions directly, or may move the assets to a
Regular or Rollover IRA. We’ll discuss those distribution options below.
Tip: Individuals who are
self-employed are most likely best served by the SEP-IRA – it’s
easy to set up and offers maximum flexibility on funding
Tip: Companies with a handful of
employees might be well served by a SIMPLE IRA if management wants employees to
be primarily responsible for their retirement saving. If management wants to
use retirement saving as an incentive, then a Keogh or 401K plan is a more
attractive option. Larger companies (more than 15 employees) are usually best
served by a 401K plan.
Contributions limits are $4,000/year/per person, not to
exceed 100% of employment income, and clients over 50 can contribute an
additional $1,000/year.
Unfortunately, Roth’s are available only to single
taxpayers earning up to $99,000 in 2007, $156,000 in 2007 for joint filers,
which rules out most of our clients. Clients on the cusp of those limits may
find that they have to reverse contributions (without penalty) if they exceed
the income limits by year end.
A recent innovation for employees of certain firms which
have elected this option is the ability to contribute to a Roth 401K. This plan
has the same contribution limits as a regular 401K, the same tax free
distribution status as a Roth IRA, and there’s no income limit preventing
you from participating. However, you don’t get the tax deduction on the
original contributions. If you switch jobs or retire, after 6 months you can
roll your Roth 401K over to a Roth IRA.
The principle is that, if you pay tax now, you can avoid tax
on retirement distributions. Here’s a simple example: a client, a 30
year old actor who’s single, had an off year in 2007 and earned only $25,000.
His IRA is worth $100K. He elects to convert the entire IRA to a Roth.
Without the conversion, his Federal tax would have been $782.50 plus 15% of the
amount over $7,825 or $3,358.75. Converting the IRA would push his income up
to $125K, so his Federal tax would be $15,698.75 plus 28% of the amount over $77,100 or $29,110.75. If the
client had savings in taxable accounts to pay that tax, the conversion might
make sense. If the client didn’t plan to retire until 65, that $100K
Roth IRA might grow to $1,478,534 assuming an 8% annual return. Given a 35%
tax rate in retirement, the tax on the regular IRA might total $502,701 or more
over the distribution.
The decision to convert to a Roth is non-trivial and is
dependent on your current tax bracket, your expected tax bracket in retirement,
the number of years to retirement and whether you have available funds outside
your Roth to pay the taxes (you can pay taxes from within the Roth, but you
want those funds to enjoy the maximum tax deferred growth.) You can also do
partial Roth conversions if a full Roth conversion would push you into too high
a tax bracket, or if you don’t have enough free cash to pay taxes on a
full conversion.
Distribution strategies
After a life
time of accumulation, how and when can clients actually take distributions?
With the exceptions of Beneficiary Distribution IRA’s and for reasons of
health, the earliest you can take money out of these plans is at 59 ½ (62 for
Social Security, but your monthly benefit will be reduced.) However, we
encourage our clients to hold off on withdrawing from IRA’s as long as
possible, preferably right up to the mandatory withdrawal age of 70 ½.
The reason
has to do with taxes. With the exception of Roth IRA’s, every dollar
drawn from an IRA is taxed at your income rate (for example, 35 cents on the
dollar if you’re in the 35% Federal Tax Bracket.) By comparison, every
dollar drawn from a taxable account incurs tax only if drawn from an asset sold
at a profit. For example, if a client sold stock with a long term cost basis
of $0.85 to raise $1.00 then the tax is ($1.00-0.85) *15% (Federal LT Capital
Gains Rate) or about 2 cents per dollar. If we can net out capital gains and
losses in a taxable account, we can also net out taxes on withdrawals.
This tax
imbalance has further implications:
After a
client turns 70 ½, you must take distributions from all IRA sources except Roth
IRA’s. Every January, HCMI calculates the Minimum Required Distribution
(RMD), which is computed based on the year value of the account, the age of the
client, and life expectancy tables from the IRS. In December, we confirm that
the total MRD amount for the year has indeed been transferred; otherwise, the
client could be subject to an IRS penalty.
The client
has the choice of taking a lump sum distribution, monthly, quarterly or
semi-annually distributions. The distribution can be made as cash directly to
the client’s checking account or to another taxable account at a
brokerage. With brokerage accounts, the client can elect to receive either
cash or securities, including stocks, bonds or mutual funds. The client can
elect to have taxes withheld on the distribution, or can pay the taxes owed
separately.
Every
February, your IRA custodian will issue a form 1099-R showing the amount
distributed from your IRA for the previous year and also if any taxes were
withheld. You’ll need to give that form to your accountant.
How Heron Capital Management, Inc. can help
·
HCMI manages Defined Benefit plans
for corporations, and advises individuals on investment strategy in their
regular, SEP, SIMPLE, Keogh, Beneficiary Distribution and ROTH IRA’s, and
can optimize tax planning between these accounts and taxable accounts such as
Individual, Joint, Tenant-in-Common and Trust.
·
HCMI advises individuals on how to
rebalance their 401K’s and recommends that such rebalancing be done every
1-2 years. Because 401K’s have limited investment choices, we provide
this service as part of the overall relationship without charging additional
fees.
·
HCMI advises clients on how to
withdraw assets from their taxable and non-taxable accounts in retirement to
optimize their tax situation.
·
HCMI tracks Minimum Required
Distributions (MRD’s) to ensure that clients aren’t subject to IRS
penalties.
The Heron Capital Management “Quick Take” is published several times per year. The views expressed in this letter represent HCMI opinion and strategy as of the date published and can change at any time upon receipt of new information. Data quoted in this letter are from sources deemed reliable, but no guarantee of such data is implied.